You must use probability concept and decision tree analysis to help you preparing the
However, the CEO never learn about Management Science, and have absolutely no idea
about Probability nor Decision Analysis. Therefore, please provide detailed explanation
for every step, stage of your decision tree, calculation etc.
You may add any other assumption to help you prepare the report. However, a detailed
explanation about the assumption must be provided, and they must not be in conflict
with any information given in the case problem and Appendix 1.